Tahquitz Ice & Surrounding Flows Climbing

It's not so much the where as the when. As many have mentioned on MP before me it takes a lot of snow with just the right freeze and thaw conditions. With Global Warming becoming more and more prevalent it is almost a joke to add this to MP as much as it is to think of Global Warming as being a joke. What do perfect freeze and thaw conditions look like in So Cal and when does this usually happen has always been a huge variable to So Cal winter alpine climbing. Southern California winter alpine climbing in itself is some what paradoxical. Each year it is definitely getting more and more sporadic and the models I used to use are becoming fewer and fewer between. In general you need at least three big dumps from Bering Strait storms within a month of each other with Santa Ana driven freeze and thaw conditions afterward. These are cold winter driven storms coming down from Alaska and take a lot of energy to make it past point conception to dump in our local mountains. Ice will be a given during any big El Nino winter. Typically what you will see here are very strong tropical storms coming from the south being very wet in nature. The tropical storms here you want to pay the most attention to are the Pineapple Express storms coming up from Hawaii that will occasionally collide with the Bering Strait storms I mentioned earlier. In General if you see this weather pattern outside of an El Nino winter and there is already a base layer of snow there will be Ice.
Super Alpine starts are imperative due to the nature that the only times it stays constantly below freezing is at night and the thawing occurring during the days is what feeds to the flows when they do come in. Take extreme caution while touring the Others formations as many of the gullies can become unstable avalanche terrain!